Re: [TML] expected ship traffic Tim 26 Aug 2014 05:30 UTC

On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 09:07:32PM -0700, Phil Pugliese (via tml list) wrote:
> As for a hypothetical world w/ a 1.1gigaTonne figure, let's see;
> (BTW: Does 1 tonne = 1dTon? I don't think so but let's go ahead and
> postulate a world w/ 1.1giga dTons.)

1 dTon would probably be around 2-5 tonnes typically.  For bulk
liquids, minerals or metals maybe up to 10 tonnes, with specialized
provisions for the unusually high density.

> Assuming an avg of 500dTon cargo cap amongst various size vessels
> they'd need about 2,000 thousand trips/year= 5.5 departures/day.

You seem to have dropped a factor of 1000 there.  The 2,000 thousand
trips per year is approximately correct (though written strangely),
but the result should be 6000 per day from that calculation, not 5.5.

I think much of the trade volume for Australia is actually bulk
materials, so perhaps only 1000 departures per day if it had to be
carried by ships of that size.

> BTW, What's the ratio of im to ex?

In the particular case of Australia, about 1:7 last I checked.

- Tim