On Sat, Mar 7, 2020 at 23:29 Timothy Collinson - timothy.collinson at port.ac.uk (via tml list) <xxxxxx@simplelists.com> wrote:


On Sun, 8 Mar 2020 at 01:12, Jeff Zeitlin <xxxxxx@freelancetraveller.com> wrote:
The March/April 2020 issue of Freelance Traveller is now available for
download!
(Snip)
And yes, math(s) challenged as I am, I'm still working out the odds of Dhe.  But great idea - it will be just the thing for an NPC to suggest when the Wolblutn is in Jump.

Cheers
tc
For which ever number you pick, that’s a 1:36 chance of winning, a 5:36 chance of losing, and a 30:36 chance of maintaining. Over a statistically perfect series of 36 rounds, player vs house, with a bet of 1 unit, you will lose 5 and gain 9, for a net gain of 4. Once other players get involved... on a max of six players vs house,  a player gets kicked the first round 35:36 rounds (the only exception is a win on round one). The odds of a specific player pulling that off is 1:216, and the odds of a specific player getting kicked is 5:216 (betting on players in a game of chance is a chancy business). The. The odds tighten up as players are eliminated - 5 players face a win odd of 1:180, 4 players 1:144, 3 players 1:108, and 2 players 1:72. Of course, for the overall chances of someone winning a round, that’s the same as 1vH - 1:36. If a Dhe round ends only by elimination by win or loss, the house pulls a lot of money.